Key Points
Space stocks are on many investors’ minds these days, but going all-in on this sector right now comes with considerable risk, as most rocket stocks are volatile.
Still, two stocks that are no doubt near the top of many investors’ watch lists are Space Exploration Technologies (NASDAQ: SPCX) and Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB). Here’s which one looks like the better buy right now.
The case for SpaceX
What was once just a rocket company has morphed into an expanding technology behemoth with its sights set on both the space and artificial intelligence (AI) markets.
SpaceX has highly ambitious goals for both, including colonizing Mars, launching orbital data centers, expanding its Starlink satellite internet business, and building what some analysts are calling a “sovereign AI” platform in which the company controls the AI model, chip designs, processor manufacturing, and everything in between.
That’s part of the appeal of SpaceX for some investors — the company is trying big things, like developing its Starship rocket, which it says will reduce the costs of putting payloads into orbit by at least 90%, or deploying a constellation of data center satellites. Morningstar research puts the total addressable market for its Starlink connectivity business at $129 billion.
And the company is making headway on some of its goals. It has 12 million Starlink internet subscribers and generated $1.9 billion in operating profit from that business in the most recent quarter.
SpaceX is also making progress with its neocloud business, which leases data center capacity (Earth-bound, for now) to tech companies including Alphabet and Anthropic. That business has already signed more than $81 billion in contracts.
And then there’s the potential for SpaceX to merge with Elon Musk’s other large company, Tesla. That could expand SpaceX’s opportunities into the autonomous vehicle and humanoid robot markets, the latter of which could be worth $3 trillion by 2050, according to a Morgan Stanley forecast.
The case for Rocket Lab
There’s some overlap between Rocket Lab and SpaceX, though Rocket Lab isn’t building AI data centers or planning to merge with a humanoid robotics company (as of now).
The company is instead mostly focused on launching rockets for its customers and on expanding its satellite communications network through its recently announced purchase of Iridium Communications.
Rocket Lab has agreed to pay $8 billion for Iridium, and is expected to close on the deal next year, giving it 2.5 million satellite-based mobile subscribers. The service is mainly geared toward the private and government sectors, in contrast to Starlink, which caters more to customers who want at-home internet service.
Iridium is profitable, with $114 million in net earnings last year, and the deal will help Rocket Lab expand its satellite communications network to better compete with SpaceX.
But Rocket Lab’s primary business is sending payloads into space, and in the first quarter, the company signed 31 new deals, selling more launches than it did in all of 2025.
The company also has some major launch contracts already signed, including with the U.S. government to establish the satellite system for the proposed Golden Dome missile defense system. It also has contracts for missile tracking and military communications.
Verdict: Rocket Lab is the better stock to buy right now
While Rocket Lab isn’t profitable, its loss of $0.07 per share in Q1 was an improvement from its loss of $0.12 per share in the prior-year quarter. Revenue is also growing at a healthy clip, rising 64% to $200 million.
In contrast, SpaceX’s sales rose just 15% in Q1 to $4.7 billion, and the company’s loss of $3.29 per share was dramatically worse than its $0.41 per share loss in the year-ago quarter.
SpaceX’s massive losses have been fueled by sharp increases in its capital expenditures, which reached $10 billion in Q1 2026 alone, compared to $27 billion for all of 2025.
That heavy spending should give investors pause, and so should the lofty valuation of its stock. SpaceX trades at a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of about 94 compared to Rocket Lab’s P/S ratio of 66.
While neither stock is cheap, SpaceX’s shares trade at a much higher premium even as the company ramps up spending and its losses widen. All of which means that Rocket Lab looks like the better space stock to buy right now.
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Chris Neiger has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Rocket Lab, and Tesla. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
